Interior Minister Ramesh Chennitala said that he accepted BJP as a force in Kerala. A political party that is insignificant in Kerala's bipolar regime has become a force to be reckoned with. Let's talk more about this.
The rise of the People's Party as a major force is the result of the disenchantment of the Nair community with Congress over the past two decades. During K Karunakaran, the National Voting Bank was a community that was strong in both numbers and social ladders, and they did everything they could to foster the community. The appeasement policy pursued by the late Chief Minister K Karunakaran made BJP a marginal player in Kerala politics. On the other hand, some of the poor in the Nair community that maintains ideological status remain an important part of LDF for decades. It is this situation that has been shaken in Kerala, reshaping the contours of Kerala's politics.
Everyone is interested in learning about the future. The ruling party UDF is worried about its future in the Kerala state of the two poles, and people take turns to elect the front line. Based on this assumption, LDF will regain power in the 2016 parliamentary elections. Does this mean that LDF is free from worry? Comrade Pinarai Vijayan, Chief Minister, is worried about the leader of the Legislative Party, Mr. Achutanandan, who will not forgive his supporters for being cut off by the party. VS is a person known for his score score and may choose a compromise candidate to undermine Mr. Pinarai Vijayan's chances.
If this is the case for two leading fronts, BJP has its concerns. The forthcoming 2016 General Assembly elections will be crucial for BJP to show that it will have many elected members in the parliament occupying the central stage. If there is no party condition, it will become a marginal player like the AAP in Kerala. BJP understands its strength. The party has successfully entered the Nair community over the past decade. By using the SNDP network, the party hopes that it can place a significant portion of Ezhava voters on its kittens. Without any chance, BJP is willing to form an alliance with the Kerala Congress. The Kerala Congress is suffering from the Congress because it did not help the party chairman. KM Mani comes from a liquor scam.
Prime Minister Narendra Modi used UDF's anti-interest factor in Kerala. He successfully attracted many audiences and attracted the rank of party members. In order to win any battle, the leader must instill confidence in his supporters. Mr. Modi scored very high in this regard. But can this work alone? In this area we need to think laterally.
To learn more about Kerala politics, we should look at the two main fronts of Kerala. Let's take a look at UDF first. The birth of the UDF was due to opposition to the Kerala communist movement. Then the question will come. Anyone is opposed to the communist movement in Kerala? Yes, there is a powerful lobby to lobby against the communist movement. Let's check them one by one:
First, the church believes that Marxist ideals oppose religious creeds. The church wants its flock to be in its orbit. Communism basically opposed the religions and churches treated by the communist countries in the past. Marxists pose a threat to the survival of the church, and the church wants to prevent LDF from coming to power.
Second, see the Marxist Muslim leaders in conflict with Islam. Islam does not want its believers to believe in any other doctrine other than Allah. Since the leftist ideology is always vying for the elimination of the Muslim League as a political entity, the creamy layer of the Muslim Union's frontier caste will be skeptical about the left. Readers should remember the work of the late Comrade NMS Namboodiripad, who advocated the dissolution of the Muslim League in Kerala.
Third, the farm hall who lost the land to the serf. They are scattered among all parties in the UDF. Of course, there is also a strong Kerala Congress, including a farm lobby group, or a tirelessly trained leadership of the Kerala Parliament. The prospect of going to the left front, their former plantation workers, will definitely make them feel uneasy.
Fourth, the average middle class believes that the left is a hinder or an anti-development. Their main condemnation is against the armed forces, which is the bane of Kerala for decades. In addition, the middle class people also believe that the left is a party to violence. They respect leaders like the late Mr. K. Karunakaran and Mr. Ommen Chandy, who are powerful leaders who have the ability to control CPM's careful planning of violent politics.
From a different perspective, we can see a strong lobbying against LDF, including the middle and lower classes from most and minority communities. The combination of most of the working class and intellectuals of Ezhavas, SC and ST is their core support base. It is this voting bank that is threatened by the growth of BJP.
The BJP's gain is the LDF loss witnessed in the Aruvikkara by-election. But even if it steps down, it needs more support and more of society. If BJP succeeds in severing relations between popular leaders like Mr. Laus, Mr. Ramesh Chennitala and the Kerala Parliament, then the party has a great chance of success, because it will benefit BJP's support.
But if the People's Party is unsuccessful, things will become unpredictable, because leaders like Mr. Ommen Chandy, Mr. VM Sudheeran and Mr. Ramesh Chennitala are well supported at the grassroots level, making BJP unpowered. Influence. Herein lies wisdom. The ballot can be LDF or any line that can effectively afford LDF. In order to take power, a political party asks Christians and Muslims to vote for them. It is in this area that BJP faces a daunting task.
For these powerful reasons, the ruling UDF is likely to seek another verdict in Kerala than the growth of BJP. But this should be done by adding some and deleting one to reorganize the front line. What does it mean? The Kerala people have little trouble with the UDF scandal. It must be remembered that during the thick scam. Sabarinathan won the Aruvikkara by-election. The importance of the Muslim League is a major issue for most communities in Kerala. What followed was the middle class's disappointment with CPM's violent politics against its competitors. Next is Comrade Pinarai Vijayan's projection as a CM, which will not be digested by the former VS supporters. Most of them are now BJP.
Kerala has a traditional left-wing idea. On the political side, there is no 100%. Each political party has their left and right supporters. For example, Mr. KN Govindacharya opposed globalization and represented protectionism and therefore left. Therefore, Mr. Swaminathan Gurumurthy is the main highlight of RSS. UDF has VM Sudheeran and AK Antony, they are left-wingers [Nehruvian Socialists]. In this case, if the UDF can abolish the connection with the Muslim League and absorb the CPI and the smaller left-wing players, it can attract anti-CPM votes, and the left and main votes turn to BJP. Yes, UDF has a future. If they want to stop LDF from coming to power, it is to reorganize the front line.
Orignal From: The Future of UDF in Kerala - Interpretation of Kerala's Political System
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